QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Auto Manufacturing
Toyota Motor TM
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 21% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its filings are too old.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −21%
- Risk vs market
- Below marketbeta 0.79
3 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $195.71
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$166.50−14.9%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$195.71you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$248.29+26.9%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for TM: Latest cash-flow data in SEC XBRL ends 2025-03-31, too old to use. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much TM moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves a bit less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.0× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.79
- Volatility
- 26% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.39
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.24
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 3 of 5
ValuationP/E of 10.5× vs a 27.5× median for the 130 Industrials companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 3.4% ($8.7B paid over 12 months, 35% of earnings).
GrowthSales compounded 11% a year from FY2023 to FY2026.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 2.2× over the last 12 months.
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 7.4% in FY2026 from 11.9% in FY2024 (SEC filings).
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 18% in the last fiscal year, below the 7.9% median for the 123 Industrials companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 3.9× EBITDA (limit 3×).
RiskReports earnings Nov 4: results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Toyota Motor in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Auto Manufacturing
All fundamentals
P/E 10.5 · Sales +6%
Valuation
- P/E
- 10.5×Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.80×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $256Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $322B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +5.5%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +10.9%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $295.25
- EPS growth, last FY
- −17.9%
- Net income, 12 months
- $24.4B
- Net income growth
- −19%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 7.4%
- Net margin
- 7.6%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 2.2×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 3.38%$8.7B paid
- Payout ratio
- 35%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Mar 31, 2026. From Toyota Motor’s SEC filings, reported in JPY and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 56 · 5 days −0.5%
The business
FCF $-1,223.0B · Sales +10%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$1,223.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield−477.2%
- Free-cash-flow margin−2%
- Gross margin17%
- Operating margin7%
- Return on invested capital4%
- Return on equity12%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+10%
- Net debt / EBITDA3.9×
Next report
Nov 4
- DateWed Nov 4
- Year-ago EPS$4.85
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
TM is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.