QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Auto dealers
Asbury Automotive Group ABG
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 19% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 4% over its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
Worth knowing
- Share count down 7% in 2 years
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $198.00price +4%
- Off 52-wk high
- −19%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.61
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Repricing: business changed
The price is 19% below its 52-week high (Jan 9), but the business held up: shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more, net cash (cash minus debt) +7.9% of market cap since the high.
Some numbers held up (shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more, net cash (cash minus debt) +7.9% of market cap since the high), others slipped (revenue growth rate −9.4 pts, earnings per share −8.7%). The price is 19% below its 52-week high.
The price is 19% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too: revenue growth rate −9.4 pts, earnings per share −8.7%.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 9 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$17.8B → $17.6B (−1.3%)about the same
- Revenue growth rate+8.1% → −1.3% a year (−9.4 pts)changed
- Earnings per share, 12 months$28.61 → $26.12 (−8.7%)changed
- Operating margin5.5% → 4.2% (−1.2 pts)about the same
- Shares outstanding−8.7% (fewer shares, each owns more)held up
- Net cash (cash minus debt)+7.9% of market cap since the highheld up
- Stock vs its sector (Consumer Discretionary)stock −19%, sector median +3% since Jan 9changed
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −19%, revenue/EPS/FCF median −5% (shown, not scored)
- Valuation multipleP/E 8.9× at the high → 7.9× now (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Sep 30, 2025) vs the latest filing (12 months to Sep 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk high: P/E 8.9×; 52-wk low: P/E 5.8×; now: P/E 7.9×.
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $256.03Jan 9 | $161.97Oct 14 | $206.67 |
| Implied growth | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 8.9× | 5.8× | 7.9× |
| EV/Sales | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.4× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for ABG: Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ABG moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.8× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.61
- Volatility
- 36% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.22
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.09
How it ranks
Where ABG stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 4 measures
- Dividends + buybacks yield6.5% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 17%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months−1.3% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 10%of 1,814
- Operating margin4.2% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 23%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital7.7% · profit per dollar of capitalLowest 37%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
MV $198.00 · FCF value $809.92
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationP/E of 7.9× vs a 20.7× median for the 341 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count down 8.2% in a year: $240M of buybacks over 12 months.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 17% to $25.13 in FY2025.
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 8.3×: modest for what the business earns before interest, tax and depreciation.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetNet debt of $3.3B, 89% of the market cap (Sep 30, 2026).
Balance sheetDebt rose 60% to $3.6B from FY2023 to FY2025.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity fell 6 points in two fiscal years, to 13% in FY2025.
GrowthSales fell 1.3% over the last 12 months, below the 6.7% median for the 376 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; sales down vs the year-ago quarter; net debt 5.5× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
P/E 7.9 · ROE 12% · Sales −1%
Valuation
- P/E
- 7.9×Consumer Discretionary median 20.7×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.3×
- Price / sales
- 0.21×
- Price / book
- 0.92×
- Market cap
- $3.7Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $7.0B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $17.6B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- −1.3%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +5.3%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $25.24
- EPS growth, last FY
- +16.9%
- Net income, 12 months
- $468M
- Net income growth
- −17%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 17.1%
- Operating margin
- 4.2%
- Net margin
- 2.7%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 12%
- Return on invested capital
- 8%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $89M
- Total debt
- $3.4B
- Net cash
- −$3.3B
- Debt / equity
- 0.84×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $240M6.5% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −8.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $26M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Asbury Automotive Group’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.6B · Sales −8%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.6B
- Free-cash-flow yield15.7%
- Free-cash-flow margin3%
- Gross margin17%
- Operating margin5%
- Return on invested capital7%
- Return on equity12%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)−8%
- Net debt / EBITDA5.5×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $206.67
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$161.97−21.6%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 27$198.00−4.2%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$206.67you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$256.03+23.9%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 70 · 5 days +19.5%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
ABG is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Asbury Automotive Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Auto dealers
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.