QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Business Services
Alibaba Group BABA
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 45% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −45%
- Risk vs market
- Above marketbeta 1.11
3 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $98.04
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$94.81−3.3%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$98.04you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$177.18+80.7%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for BABA: Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much BABA moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.1× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.11
- Volatility
- 40% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.35
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.32
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 3 of 5
ValuationP/E of 15.1× vs a 20.9× median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.1% ($5.1B paid over 12 months, 32% of earnings).
ValuationPrice / book of 1.5×, below the 4.9× median for the 151 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 4.9% in FY2026 from 12.0% in FY2024 (SEC filings).
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 18% in the last fiscal year, below the 4.8% median for the 158 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 10%, below the 23% median for the 149 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
GrowthSales grew 2.7% over the last 12 months, below the 7.0% median for the 175 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Alibaba Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Business Services
All fundamentals
P/E 15.1 · ROE 10% · Sales +3%
Valuation
- P/E
- 15.1×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.56×
- Price / book
- 1.51×
- Market cap
- $241Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $154B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +2.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +5.6%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $5.50
- EPS growth, last FY
- −17.9%
- Net income, 12 months
- $15.9B
- Net income growth
- −18%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 39.8%
- Operating margin
- 4.9%
- Net margin
- 10.3%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 10%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $43.2B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 5.1×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 2.11%$5.1B paid
- Payout ratio
- 32%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $1.1B0.5% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $1.7B
Trailing 12 months to Mar 31, 2026; balance sheet at Mar 31, 2026. From Alibaba Group’s SEC filings, reported in CNY and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 30 · 5 days −1.6%
The business
FCF $-48.5B · Sales +9%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$48.5B
- Free-cash-flow yield−20.1%
- Free-cash-flow margin−5%
- Gross margin38%
- Operating margin4%
- Return on invested capital3%
- Return on equity7%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+9%
- Net debt / EBITDA1.1×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
BABA is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.