QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Manufacturing
Oil-Dri Of America ODC
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 35% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading above our fair value estimate, 10% under its Market Value.
Worth knowing
- Deepest drop from a 52-week high in over 3 years
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- $62.38−10%
- Market Value
- $77.53price −10%
- Off 52-wk high
- −35%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.42
52-week range 39% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $69.62Fair value est. $62.38Market Value $77.53
5 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Mixed signals
The price is 35% below its 52-week high (Jul 13), but the business held up: operating margin +0.4 pts.
Some numbers held up (operating margin +0.4 pts), others slipped. The price is 35% below its 52-week high.
The price is 35% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 6 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$490M → $494M (+0.8%)about the same
- Revenue growth rate+3.3% → +1.7% a year (−1.6 pts)about the same
- Free cash flow, 12 months$49M → $46M (−7.1%)about the same
- Operating margin13.4% → 13.8% (+0.4 pts)held up
- Stock vs its sector (Consumer Discretionary)stock −35%, sector median +2% since Jul 13changed
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −35%, revenue/EPS/FCF median −3% (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Apr 30, 2026) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jul 31, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 6.1% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 4.1%; bull = 8.5% and 8.1% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, ODC’s free cash flow would need to grow about 8% a year for five years; our estimate uses 6%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ODC moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 3.0× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.42
- Volatility
- 39% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.14
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.07
How it ranks
Where ODC stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Not in the top quarter on any of these 5 measures
- Discount to fair value estimate10% · price above our base caseLowest 44%of 1,507
- Free cash flow yield4.7% · free cash flow vs market capTop 43%of 1,690
- Dividends + buybacks yield2.4% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 47%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+1.7% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 20%of 2,184
- Operating margin14% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 40%of 1,549
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
DCF $62.38 · MV $77.53 · FCF value $52.21
Assumes 6.1% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 6.1% a year FY23–FY26), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $3.30 a share (fiscal year to Jul 31, 2026), from the 10-K filed Oct 8, 2026.
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 4.7% (price / FCF 21.1×): $46M of free cash in the last 12 months.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 50% in the last fiscal year, above the 2.7% median for the 355 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest 31× over.
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 14%, above the 10.0% median for the 421 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 10.2% below its Market Value of $77.53, the average price paid since the Oct 8 filing.
Top bearish points 3 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $62.38, 10% below the price.
GrowthSales grew 1.7% over the last 12 months, below the 6.5% median for the 463 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ProfitabilityGross margin of 28%, below the 37% median for the 316 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
All fundamentals
P/E 17.8 · FCF yield 4.7% · Sales +2%
Valuation
- P/E
- 17.8×Consumer Discretionary median 20.1×
- Price / FCF
- 21.1×
- FCF yield
- 4.7%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.96×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $969Mprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $494M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +1.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +6.1%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- +50.5%
- Net income, 12 months
- $55M
- Net income growth
- +6%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 27.8%
- Operating margin
- 13.8%
- Net margin
- 11.0%
- FCF margin
- 9.3%
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 30.9×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $46M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −4%
- Dividend yield
- 1.07%$10M paid
- Payout ratio
- 19%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $13M1.3% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $5M
Trailing 12 months to Jul 31, 2026. From Oil-Dri Of America’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.0B · Sales +3%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield4.7%
- Free-cash-flow margin6%
- Gross margin28%
- Operating margin14%
- Return on invested capital29%
- Return on equity20%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+3%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.2×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $69.62
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$46.21−33.6%
- Fair value est.base case$62.38−10.4%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$69.62you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 8$77.53+11.4%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$106.44+52.9%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 27 · 5 days −8.0%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
ODC is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Oil-Dri Of America in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Consumer Discretionary
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.