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Stocks / Consumer Discretionary · Hotels/Resorts

PLNT

Planet Fitness PLNT

Consumer Discretionary · Hotels/Resorts
$55.65+3.86% dayMon Nov 2 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 50% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, trading well below our fair value estimate, 16% over its Market Value.

Worth knowing

  • Down 51% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 13%

From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these

Outside our quality screenReports Nov 5
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Fair value est.
$89.95+62%
Market Value
$48.12price +16%
Off 52-wk high
−50%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta 0.24

5 bullish · 4 bearish See why

Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $4.2B, under our $20B floor; net debt 4.5× EBITDA (limit 3×)). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Repriced or dip?

Dip: business intact

69/100

The price is 50% below its 52-week high (Nov 28), but the business held up: revenue +9.4%, free cash flow +29.0%, operating margin +1.5 pts.

The evidence 7 numbers, high vs now
  • Revenue, last 12 months$1.3B → $1.4B (+9.4%)held up
  • Revenue growth rate+14.4% → +12.7% a year (−1.7 pts)about the same
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$203M → $262M (+29.0%)held up
  • Operating margin29.4% → 30.9% (+1.5 pts)held up
  • Net cash (cash minus debt)−10.1% of market cap since the highchanged
  • Stock vs its sector (Consumer Discretionary)stock −50%, sector median +10% since Nov 28changed
  • Price fall vs business numbersprice −50%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +19% (shown, not scored)

Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Sep 30, 2025) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jun 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it

Data-based read, not advice.

Valuation

What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 12.2% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 10.2%; bull = 8.5% and 14.2% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$89.95+62% vs price
Bear$69.17
Base$89.95
Bull$120.30

Price is below even the bear case.

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, PLNT’s free cash flow would need to grow about 4% a year for five years; our estimate uses 12%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much PLNT moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 3.9× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
0.24
Volatility
50% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.06
Correlation QQQ
−0.04

How it ranks

Where PLNT stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.

Top quarter on 4 of 6 measures

  1. Discount to fair value estimate62% · price below our base case
    Top 18%of 1,314
  2. Free cash flow yield6.1% · free cash flow vs market cap
    Top 30%of 1,391
  3. Dividends + buybacks yield16% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market cap
    Top 1%of 1,836
  4. Revenue growth, last 12 months+13% · vs the 12 months before
    Top 40%of 1,814
  5. Operating margin31% · of sales kept as operating profit
    Top 11%of 1,288
  6. Return on invested capital21% · profit per dollar of capital
    Top 21%of 838

From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.

Valuation details

DCF $89.95 · MV $48.12 · FCF value $53.00

How

Market ValueAverage paid since the Aug 6 filing, 62 trading days
$48.12price +16%
Fair value estimateDCF: ten years of free cash flow per share, discounted
$89.9562% upside

Assumes 12.2% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 12.2% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $3.39 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 6, 2026. Net debt $2.1B, not deducted.

FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($0.2B)
$53.00price +5%

Fundamentals

The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $89.95, 62% above the price.

  2. ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 6.1% (price / FCF 16.4×): $262M of free cash in the last 12 months.

  3. ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 29.8% in FY2025 from 25.5% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  4. ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 21%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.

  5. GrowthSales grew 13% to $1.4B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

Top bearish points 4 of 5

  1. Balance sheetNet debt of $2.1B, 50% of the market cap (Jun 30, 2026).

  2. Balance sheetDebt rose 25% to $2.5B from FY2023 to FY2025.

  3. ValuationTrades 15.6% above its Market Value of $48.12, the average price paid since the Aug 6 filing.

  4. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: net debt 4.5× EBITDA (limit 3×).

All fundamentals

P/E 18.0 · FCF yield 6.1% · Sales +13%

Valuation

P/E
18.0×Consumer Discretionary median 20.7×
Price / FCF
16.4×
FCF yield
6.1%
EV / EBITDA
10.8×
Price / sales
3.05×
Price / book
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Market cap
$4.3Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
$6.4B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$1.4B
Sales growth, 12 months
+12.7%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+12.2%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
EPS growth, last FY
n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
Net income, 12 months
$238M
Net income growth
+26%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
81.7%
Operating margin
30.9%
Net margin
16.9%
FCF margin
18.6%
Return on equity
n/anegative shareholder equity
Return on invested capital
21%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$401M
Total debt
$2.5B
Net cash
−$2.1B
Debt / equity
n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
Interest coverage
3.6×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
$262M
FCF growth, 12 months
+28%
Dividend yield
n/ano dividend payments tagged
Payout ratio
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Buybacks, 12 months
$700M16.3% of market cap
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
$12M

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Planet Fitness’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

The business

FCF $0.2B · Sales +4%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$0.2B
  • Free-cash-flow yield6.1%
  • Free-cash-flow margin12%
  • Gross margin58%
  • Operating margin34%
  • Return on invested capital17%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA4.5×

Chart & levels

Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.

$40$60$80$100Jan ’26AprJulOctMV $48.12
Fair value est.Market ValueDrag across the chart to see any day

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $55.65

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$40.50−27.2%
  2. Market Valueavg paid since Aug 6$48.12−13.5%
  3. PriceMon Nov 2 close$55.65you are here
  4. Fair value est.base case$89.95+61.6%
  5. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$111.97+101.2%

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 71 · 5 days +6.1%
$55.65nowMV
52-wk low $40.50high $111.97
Off 52-wk high−50.3%
5 days+6.1%
vs 50-day avg+14.0%
vs 200-day avg−9.9%
RSI (14), last close71
Market cap$4B

Signals

Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Next report

Nov 5

Calendar

  • DateThu Nov 5, before the open
  • Consensus EPS$0.80
  • Year-ago EPS$0.80
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

PLNT is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

By joining you agree we can text or email you about QualityDip. Message and data rates may apply. Reply STOP anytime. Not advice.

Voices & buzz

Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Planet Fitness in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Hotels/Resorts

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.